KNYC Signal Beta / NYC

NYC Weather Market Advisor

Read forecast shifts, compare model vs market brackets, and make faster advisory decisions.

Beta LoginAdvisory onlyNo auto-trading

1. Watch forecast source changes.

2. Compare model probability to market price.

3. Use live observations to validate confidence.

Current operating state

Feed

connecting

Fresh

fresh

Date

- --

Mode

beta

Select Date

Bet Setup

Price the likely high before you risk money.

WaitingConfidence -

-°F

Likely payout range

Need both a model mean and a live bracket board before the risk pulse can lock in.

Flip edge -

Std Dev

-°

Adjustment

-°

Sources

Why this number

The main adjustments behind the headline mean.

Raw forecast mean-°

Live-filtered mean-°

Obs-adjusted mean-°

Final headline mean-°

Wind nudge-°

Humidity nudge-°

Airport advection-°

PWS nowcast-

Peak blend weight-

Next KNYC report-

Weather risks

The conditions most likely to move the bracket.

Bracket context

Cloud effect is not available in this snapshot.

The model does not see much late-day solar recovery unless the cloud field changes materially.

Cloud cover-

Precip signal-

Solar signal-

Forecast wind-

Air quality-

Active alerts0

Forecast source updates

Recent source changes and current model estimates.

No source changes in the last hour

SourceTempStdDevDeltaUpdate

No forecast model updates yet.

Market Bracket Board

Brighter table, tighter spacing, and more focus on the model column.

0 rows

BracketBid/AskMkt %Model %EdgeBias

No bracket snapshot yet.

Top bracket

Lead vs #2

Model Outlook

Top bracket

Full model outlook

Range, exact-high mode, and spread are still here.

Most likely high-

Likely range-

Top bracket confidence-

Forecast spread-°F

Live

Primary station anchor

Latest tick

Reported High (obs)-°F

Reported High (6h max)-°F

Actual High (Est)-

More live data

Station tape, freshness, floor, and short-term trend remain available.

Station-

Effective high floor-°F

Readings0

Obs freshness-

Latest tick-

60m temp trend-°F/hr

Nowcast bias-

Settlement Check

Official summary pending

quiet

Hidden until the official-report window or an official same-day value appears.

Official DSM details

Settlement audit data for the daily high/low.

High--

Low--

StationKNYC

Cycle-

Published-

Source-

Checked-

Live Pressure

Can the next print move the bet?

Next print

-

Expected

Latest tick-

Expected print-

PWS bracket-

PWS trust-

Main drivers-

PWS and weather checks

Authorized station feed, cloud risk, and short-term drivers.

PWS live read

No fresh PWS observations are available for a next-print nudge yet.

- confidence

PWS readinessNo fresh PWS rows

Baseline print-

PWS print-

PWS nudge-

PWS mean nudge-

PWS advisory mean-

PWS bracket-

Trusted live-

Stations used0

Feed scope0 station candidates

Cloud to bracket link

Cloud effect is not available in this snapshot.

Upside reopen condition

The model does not see much late-day solar recovery unless the cloud field changes materially.

Nearby station details

Raw nearby, marine, and PWS health checks.

Nearby stations-

Nearby freshness-

PWS statusNo live feed

PWS trusted-

PWS freshness-

PWS core proxy-

Marine air / water-° / -°

Marine temp vs inland-°

More indicators

The rest of the lead-signal stack stays available here.

Required-source freshness-

Cross-source disagreement-°F

PWS confidence- (offline)

PWS seen / QC pass- / -

PWS engine nudge-

PWS temp vs inland-° / -°

PWS heat potential-

PWS marine suppression-

Onshore flow proxy-

Marine cooling proxy-

Airport Advection

Net airport nudge-

Projected next KNYC report-

Flow regime-

Marine vs inland airports-

AirportTempWindSignal

No nearby-airport rows available.

Confidence Components

Agreement

Freshness

Trajectory

Ingest

Research Layer

Shadow outlook disabled

disabled

This is not influencing the main decision right now.

Shadow diagnostics

Residual-corrected outlook, gates, and paper recommendation.

Baseline mean-°F

Corrected mean-°F

Correction delta-°F

Corrected std dev-°F (-°)

Shadow lead vs market-

Gate pass rate-

Paper edge-

Feedback

Report what felt off

Snapshot context is attached automatically.